We’ll take a dive into the 10-year treasury note yield this week. Since the low in 2020 at about 0.4%, the 10-year yield has risen strongly up to 5% in October 2023.
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However, this week we will examine an even longer chart that goes back to 2016. The astonishing thing I want to point out is what happens to the 10-year yield in the three months of August, September, and October.
In every year since 2016, the 10-year yield has risen in these three months, as you can see on the chart. The blue-shaded areas indicate those months. Sometimes the increase was minor, but in other years, like in 2022 and 2023, the increase was very strong. The obvious question is if this year this correlation will hold true. Since we are shortly entering August, now could be a good time to sell some bonds. For subscribers, it is very important to follow our risk management measures that we provide with all our services to protect against losses in case support zones break. Follow us for updates and guidance on navigating bonds.
The world of finance is complex and includes many technical terms. For explanations of these terms, I recommend using the Investopedia dictionary.
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