Kategorie: RLI
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Risk Level Indicator 25.02.2024
Last Signal Since 20.11.2023: Risk Level 1 (Blue) The macro environment remains negative, with various signals from the RLI increasingly confirming this. My base case scenario is for rising prices until a recession in the USA or a credit event (credit crunch) in the spring of 2024. Especially noteworthy is the BTFP (Bank Term Funding…
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Risk Level Indicator 18.02.2024
Last Signal Since 20.11.2023: Risk Level 1 (Blue) The macro environment is still negative, and various signals from the RLI are now increasingly confirming this. My base case is rising prices leading up to a recession in the USA or a credit event (credit crunch) in spring 2024. The main thing to keep an eye…
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Risk Level Indicator 10.02.2024
Last Signal Since 20.11.2023: Risk Level 1 (Blue) The macro environment is still negative, and various signals from the RLI are now increasingly confirming this. My base case is rising prices leading up to a recession in the USA or a credit event (credit crunch) in spring 2024. The main thing to keep an eye…
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Risk Level Indicator 03.02.2024
Last Signal Since 20.11.2023: Risk Level 1 (Blue) The macro enviroment is still nevative. Different signals of the RLI ar starting to confirm that. My base case are rising stock prices until a recession or credit crunch in the first copule of month in 2024. The RLI will detect this and warn us accordingly. For…